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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Kopavogsvollur
FC

Breidablik
0 - 2
Copenhagen


Ingvarsson (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Larsson (1'), Falk (32')
Bergmann Johannesson (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Breidablik 2-1 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 18 at 8.15pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lyngby Boldklub 1-2 Copenhagen
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

We said: Breidablik 0-1 Copenhagen

Breidablik will be reminiscing about their victory against Rosenborg at this stage 12 years ago, but we expect Copenhagen to keep them at arm's length for the majority of the contest. However, the Danes have not been great travellers in this competition down the years, and they may have to wait until the reverse leg to completely wrap up this tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Breidablik had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Breidablik win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.

Result
BreidablikDrawCopenhagen
22.56% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 22.99% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 54.44% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)44.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)66.92% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.25% (0.064999999999998 0.06)33.75% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.59% (0.07 0.07)70.41% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)
Copenhagen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)16.27% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (-0.058 -0.06)45.82% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Breidablik 22.56%
    Copenhagen 54.44%
    Draw 22.99%
BreidablikDrawCopenhagen
1-0 @ 5.97% (0.011 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.88% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.24% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.006 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.56%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.49%
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 9.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 9.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.49% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 54.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Breidablik 2-1 Shamrock
Tuesday, July 18 at 8.15pm in Champions League
Last Game: Shamrock 0-1 Breidablik
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Buducnost 0-5 Breidablik
Friday, June 30 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Tre Penne 1-7 Breidablik
Tuesday, June 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 Breidablik
Thursday, August 11 at 6.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Breidablik 1-3 Istanbul
Thursday, August 4 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lyngby Boldklub 1-2 Copenhagen
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-1 Randers
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Viborg 1-2 Copenhagen
Monday, May 29 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 4-3 Aarhus
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Brondby 1-3 Copenhagen
Sunday, May 14 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 3-2 Copenhagen
Monday, May 8 at 6pm in Danish Superliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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