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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
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Swift Hesperange
0 - 2
Slovan Bratislava


Martins (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Weiss (55' pen., 62' pen.)
Weiss (9'), Savvidis (58'), Sharani (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Swift Hesperange
Wednesday, July 12 at 7.30pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Swift Hesperange
Wednesday, July 12 at 7.30pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Swift Hesperange 1-2 Slovan Bratislava (Slovan Bratislava to win 3-2 on aggregate)

Slovan Bratislava will have a point to prove after a heated first leg, and they will likely look to put the hosts under pressure from the first whistle. Swift can be expected to create a few chances at home, but the visitors should dominate once again and we expect them to outscore their opponents and move on to round two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Swift Hesperange had a probability of 19.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 0-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Swift Hesperange win it was 2-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.

Result
Swift HesperangeDrawSlovan Bratislava
19.65% (-0.268 -0.27) 20.67% (-0.032 -0.03) 59.68% (0.303 0.3)
Both teams to score 59.01% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.21% (-0.249 -0.25)37.79% (0.252 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.96% (-0.268 -0.27)60.04% (0.27 0.27)
Swift Hesperange Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)32.67% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.79% (-0.46 -0.46)69.21% (0.462 0.46)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.64% (0.010000000000005 0.01)12.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.8% (0.017000000000003 0.02)38.21% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swift Hesperange 19.65%
    Slovan Bratislava 59.68%
    Draw 20.67%
Swift HesperangeDrawSlovan Bratislava
2-1 @ 5.28% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 4.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 2.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 0.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 19.65%
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.04% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.67%
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.82% (0.111 0.11)
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 6.88% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.15% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.21% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 2.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.34% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 4%
Total : 59.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Swift Hesperange
Wednesday, July 12 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Swift Hesperange 1-1 Domzale
Thursday, July 15 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Domzale 1-0 Swift Hesperange
Thursday, July 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Swift Hesperange
Wednesday, July 12 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-2 Basel (1-4 pen.)
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 2-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-1 Pyunik
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 3-3 Basel
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League


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