Basel are struggling in the Swiss Super League at the moment so will welcome this last-16 tie as a pleasant distraction - as well as an opportunity to move one step closer to European silverware.
Slovan Bratislava have already travelled to Basel and won this season during the group stage, but we believe the Swiss side will hold the advantage heading into the second leg next week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.