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Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
SB

Basel
2 - 2
Slovan Bratislava

Amdouni (6'), Zeqiri (40')
Vogel (63'), Hitz (90+5'), Lopez (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Medvedev (17'), Abubakari (70')
Weiss (45+2'), Lichy (62'), Kashia (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luzern 0-1 Basel
Saturday, March 4 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Young Boys522.26Nsame
2St Gallen451.96Guillemenot
3Lugano351.52Celar
4Grasshopper341.48Kawabe
5Luzern341.48Meyer
6Basel321.39Amdouni
7Servette291.26Bedia
8Sion291.26Balotelli
9FC Zurich231.00Aiyegun
10Winterthur200.87Ramizi

We said: Basel 2-1 Slovan Bratislava

Basel are struggling in the Swiss Super League at the moment so will welcome this last-16 tie as a pleasant distraction - as well as an opportunity to move one step closer to European silverware. Slovan Bratislava have already travelled to Basel and won this season during the group stage, but we believe the Swiss side will hold the advantage heading into the second leg next week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
BaselDrawSlovan Bratislava
48.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.86%27.52% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 57.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.7% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (0.00099999999999056 0)18.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.81%49.19% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.65% (0.0040000000000049 0)65.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Basel 48.61%
    Slovan Bratislava 27.52%
    Draw 23.86%
BaselDrawSlovan Bratislava
2-1 @ 9.51%
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.4%
3-0 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.3%
4-0 @ 1.88%
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 5.82%
0-0 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.55%
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 27.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luzern 0-1 Basel
Saturday, March 4 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-2 Basel
Sunday, February 26 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 2-0 Trabzonspor
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 2-2 Servette
Sunday, February 19 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Basel
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 3-1 Sion
Saturday, February 11 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-1 Pyunik
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 3-3 Basel
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 0-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Pyunik 2-0 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 0-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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