SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | Villarreal |
| 41.95% | 26.48% | 31.57% |
| Both teams to score 51.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% | 53.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.38% | 74.61% |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.01% | 24.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.36% | 59.64% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% | 31.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.52% | 67.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.95% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 9.08% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 5.3% 1-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.57% |
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