Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 35.68%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
