Derby Derby County
4-0
Stoke Stoke City

Waghorn (21'), Martin (24'), Rooney (67'), Bogle (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Match Report

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The Match

Match Report

Stoke were a shadow of the side that had gone four games unbeaten.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%).

Result
Derby County	Draw	Stoke City
40.5%	25.81%	33.68%

Both teams to score 54.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.29%

49.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.28%

71.72%

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.75%

24.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.39%

58.61%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.89%

28.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.22%

63.78%

Score Analysis

Derby County 40.5%

Stoke City 33.68%

Draw 25.81%

Derby County	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.66% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.5%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.65% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.49% 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.68%