Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fulham in this match.
