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Championship | Gameweek 41

Jul 4, 2020 at 3pm UK

Craven Cottage

Fulham
1 - 0
Birmingham

Onomah (90+4')
Hector (33'), Odoi (34')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gardner (30'), Bellingham (38'), Roberts (40'), Clarke-Salter (90+2')

Scott Parker relieved as Fulham strike late to keep promotion hopes alive

The Match

Match Report

The substitute struck deep into added time for the promotion-chasing Cottagers.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship game between Fulham and Birmingham City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fulham in this match.

Result
Fulham	Draw	Birmingham City
56.54%	23.77%	19.69%

Both teams to score 48.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.77%

51.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94%

73.06%

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06%

17.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.24%

48.76%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.6%

40.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.98%

77.02%

Score Analysis

Fulham 56.53%

Birmingham City 19.69%

Draw 23.76%

Fulham	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.45% 2-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.13% 3-1 @ 5.55% 4-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.49% Total : 56.53%	1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 7.25% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.76%	0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.55% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.69%