Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 48.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.
