Back on home territory, Reading will be confident of getting back on track against opponents who may have over-performed last weekend. Nevertheless, Cardiff's belief will be higher, and we can see the visitors departing Berkshire with another three points to their name.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.06) 
