Back on home territory, Reading will be confident of getting back on track against opponents who may have over-performed last weekend. Nevertheless, Cardiff's belief will be higher, and we can see the visitors departing Berkshire with another three points to their name. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 48.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Reading	Draw	Cardiff City
24.59% ( 0.01)	26.5% ( -0.06)	48.91% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 47.08% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.27% (

0.24)

56.73% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.32% (

0.2)

77.68% (

-0.19)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.35% (

0.15)

38.65% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.61% (

0.14)

75.39% (

-0.14)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

0.13)

23.25% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.83% (

0.19)

57.17% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Reading 24.59%

Cardiff City 48.91%

Draw 26.5%

Reading	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.06% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 24.59%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.67% Total : 48.91%