Championship | Gameweek 39

Jun 27, 2020 at 12.30pm UK

Liberty Stadium

Swansea
0 - 1
Luton

Wilmot (45+1'), Gallagher (89')
Garrick (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Collins (72')
Butterfield (30'), Rea (32'), Ruddock (83')

Football Association charge Swansea City and Luton Town over melee

Nathan Jones believes Luton will survive after Swansea win

The Match

Match Report

The hosts had Jordon Garrick sent off for aiming a punch at Collins late on.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Luton Town
60.88%	22.13%	16.99%

Both teams to score 49.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.47%

48.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.34%

70.66%

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.53%

15.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.65%

44.35%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.03%

41.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.59%

78.41%

Score Analysis

Swansea City 60.88%

Luton Town 16.99%

Draw 22.13%

Swansea City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-0 @ 11.3% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 6.11% 4-0 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.22% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.2% Total : 60.88%	1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.13%	0-1 @ 5.64% 1-2 @ 4.57% 0-2 @ 2.45% 1-3 @ 1.32% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.78% Total : 16.99%