Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Wuhan Zall had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Wuhan Zall win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan in this match.