Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Yifang win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Yifang win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.