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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 18
Jul 30, 2020 at 1pm UK
Yuexiushan Stadium

Guangzhou R&F
0 - 5
Evergrande


Chen (29'), Chun Lok (71'), Li (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Paulinho (8'), Shihao (40'), Zhunyi (53'), Talisca (63' pen.), Elkeson (90+5')
Fang (44')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou City and Guangzhou.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 54.24%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.63%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.

Result
Guangzhou CityDrawGuangzhou
25.07%20.68%54.24%
Both teams to score 66.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.15%30.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.79%52.2%
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79%24.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45%58.54%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.34%11.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.29%36.7%
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou City 25.07%
    Guangzhou 54.24%
    Draw 20.68%
Guangzhou CityDrawGuangzhou
2-1 @ 6.1%
1-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.1%
3-1 @ 2.89%
2-0 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.1%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 25.07%
1-1 @ 8.6%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 2.82%
3-3 @ 2.22%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 9.25%
1-3 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 6.52%
0-1 @ 6.06%
2-3 @ 4.7%
0-3 @ 4.67%
1-4 @ 3.56%
2-4 @ 2.53%
0-4 @ 2.51%
1-5 @ 1.53%
3-4 @ 1.19%
2-5 @ 1.09%
0-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 54.24%


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