Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Qingdao had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Qingdao win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dalian Pro would win this match.