Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 76.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Qingdao had a probability of 8.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 0-3 (10.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Qingdao win it was 1-0 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.