Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Qingdao had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Qingdao win it was 1-0 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan would win this match.
