Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dalian Pro in this match.