Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hebei win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hebei win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hebei in this match.
