Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.07) 
