Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
