Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 0-1 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Henan Songshan Longmen in this match.