Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
