Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.