Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 61.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 15.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.
