Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shenzhen win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Dalian Yifang had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shenzhen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Dalian Yifang win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shenzhen would win this match.