Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 51.28%. A win for Tianjin TEDA had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Tianjin TEDA win was 2-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.