Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 61.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chiangrai United had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Chiangrai United win it was 1-2 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
