Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Wuhan Zall had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Wuhan Zall win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.