Club World Cup | First Round
Feb 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Al Ahly 2-1 Auckland City
Both Al Ahly and Auckland will be motivated to come out on top on Wednesday, with the prospect of facing Spanish giants Real Madrid in the semi-finals of the competition next week.
A closely-fought contest is to be expected in Morocco, but we feel that Al Ahly may just have the edge to sneak through to the second round.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Auckland City had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Auckland City win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.
| Result |
| Al Ahly | Draw | Auckland City |
60.71% ( 0.08) | 21.08% ( -0.01) | 18.2% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.09) |
| 58.02% ( -0.05) | 41.97% ( 0.05) |
| 35.62% ( -0.05) | 64.38% ( 0.05) |
| 86.61% ( 0.01) | 13.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.7% ( 0.02) | 40.29% ( -0.02) |
| 63.35% ( -0.11) | 36.64% ( 0.11) |
