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FC
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 29, 2024 at 12am UK
Nippert Stadium

Cincinnati
4 - 0
Cavalier

Powell (19'), Boupendza (34'), Foster (71'), Valenzuela (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Calvin (12')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between FC Cincinnati and Cavalier.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cavalier 0-2 Cincinnati
Friday, February 23 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 68.72%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Cavalier had a probability of 13.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Cavalier win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawCavalier
68.72% (-0.139 -0.14) 17.36% (0.0039999999999978 0) 13.91% (0.129 0.13)
Both teams to score 58.25% (0.361 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.15% (0.28399999999999 0.28)32.85% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.45% (0.325 0.33)54.55% (-0.33 -0.33)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.31% (0.041000000000011 0.04)8.69% (-0.0451 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.08% (0.104 0.1)29.92% (-0.108 -0.11)
Cavalier Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.79% (0.365 0.37)36.2% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.01% (0.366 0.37)72.99% (-0.372 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 68.72%
    Cavalier 13.91%
    Draw 17.36%
FC CincinnatiDrawCavalier
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.77% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.75% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.67% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.95% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.41% (0.031 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.32% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.018 0.02)
6-1 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 68.72%
1-1 @ 7.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.36%
1-2 @ 3.97% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.62% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 13.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cincinnati 0-0 Toronto
Sunday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cavalier 0-2 Cincinnati
Friday, February 23 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Cincinnati 2-3 Columbus Crew
Saturday, December 2 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Philadelphia
Sunday, November 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Cincinnati (8-7 pen.)
Saturday, November 4 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 NY Red Bulls
Monday, October 30 at 12am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cavalier 0-2 Cincinnati
Friday, February 23 at 2am in CONCACAF Champions League


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