SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
50.83% ( -0.41) | 22.97% ( 0.13) | 26.2% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 59.69% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.13% ( -0.36) | 40.86% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.74% ( -0.36) | 63.25% ( 0.36) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( -0.28) | 16.22% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.28% ( -0.51) | 45.71% ( 0.5) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( 0.03) | 28.75% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( 0.03) | 64.59% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.44% Total : 26.2% |
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