SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
50.36% ( 0.86) | 25.21% ( 0.03) | 24.43% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.02% ( -0.84) | 51.98% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.28% ( -0.73) | 73.72% ( 0.73) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( 0.02) | 20.65% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.77% ( 0.03) | 53.23% ( -0.03) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( -1.23) | 36.16% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.05% ( -1.28) | 72.95% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.87% Total : 24.43% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
