SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | Pumas |
64.94% ( 0.92) | 20.2% ( 0.07) | 14.87% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( -2.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( -2.25) | 44.17% ( 2.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.46% ( -2.23) | 66.55% ( 2.24) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( -0.42) | 12.83% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.83% ( -0.88) | 39.17% ( 0.88) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.89% ( -2.69) | 42.11% ( 2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.47% ( -2.41) | 78.53% ( 2.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monterrey | Draw | Pumas |
| 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.74) 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.89)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.39)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 4% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.29)5-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.12% Total : 64.93% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.36)Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.2% | 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.6% Total : 14.87% |
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