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CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 29, 2024 at 2.15am UK
First Tennessee Park

Nashville
4 - 0
Moca

Gaines (13'), Ajago (38', 53'), Shaffelburg (45')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Jimenez (82'), Rafael Jimenez Burgos (82')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Nashville SC and Moca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Moca 0-3 Nashville
Friday, February 23 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Moca had a probability of 11.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Moca win it was 1-2 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawMoca
71.85% (-0.27 -0.27) 16.78% (0.073 0.07) 11.37% (0.197 0.2)
Both teams to score 52.12% (0.453 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24% (0.228 0.23)36.76% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07% (0.248 0.25)58.93% (-0.249 -0.25)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)8.99% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.36% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)30.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Moca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.26% (0.501 0.5)42.74% (-0.501 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.93% (0.426 0.43)79.07% (-0.426 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 71.84%
    Moca 11.37%
    Draw 16.78%
Nashville SCDrawMoca
2-0 @ 11.14% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.25% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.95% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.61% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.39% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.051 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.031 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 71.84%
1-1 @ 7.87% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.78%
1-2 @ 3.34% (0.054 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.27% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.39% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 11.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nashville 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, February 25 at 10pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Moca 0-3 Nashville
Friday, February 23 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Nashville 0-1 Orlando City
Wednesday, November 8 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-0 Nashville
Monday, October 30 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 3-2 New England
Sunday, October 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Moca 0-3 Nashville
Friday, February 23 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League


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