SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | New England Revolution |
54.75% ( 0.02) | 22.89% ( -0) | 22.36% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( -0.01) | 44.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( -0.01) | 66.7% ( 0.01) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.91% ( 0) | 16.09% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.52% ( 0.01) | 45.48% ( -0.01) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( -0.03) | 33.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.53% ( -0.03) | 70.47% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.49% 5-1 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 54.75% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.88% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.36% |
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