SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
43.8% ( 0.12) | 26.84% ( -0.05) | 29.36% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.75% ( 0.18) | 55.25% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.52% ( 0.15) | 76.48% ( -0.15) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( 0.14) | 25.05% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% ( 0.19) | 59.73% ( -0.19) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( 0.05) | 33.9% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( 0.05) | 70.57% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.36% |
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