SM
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bermuda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Antigua and Barbuda | Draw | Bermuda |
37.26% ( 1) | 22.88% ( 0.31) | 39.86% ( -1.31) |
| Both teams to score 65.77% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.72% ( -1.47) | 35.29% ( 1.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.7% ( -1.66) | 57.31% ( 1.66) |
| Antigua and Barbuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( -0.18) | 19.49% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.65% ( -0.3) | 51.35% ( 0.31) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% ( -1.17) | 18.32% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.6% ( -2.02) | 49.41% ( 2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Antigua and Barbuda | Draw | Bermuda |
| 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.38% Total : 37.26% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.79% Total : 39.86% |
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