SM
| Current League C Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dominica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | British Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turks and Caicos | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Antigua and Barbuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Guyana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Puerto Rico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Bahamas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.32%) and 3-1 (5.28%). The likeliest Antigua and Barbuda win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dominica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dominica | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
42.97% ( 0.05) | 21.96% ( -0.04) | 35.07% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 69.01% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.08% ( 0.19) | 30.92% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.71% ( 0.23) | 52.29% ( -0.23) |
| Dominica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( 0.1) | 15.27% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.03% ( 0.18) | 43.97% ( -0.18) |
| Antigua and Barbuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.45% ( 0.09) | 18.55% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.2% ( 0.14) | 49.8% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominica | Draw | Antigua and Barbuda |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 42.97% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.07% |
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