SM
| Current League B Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bermuda | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belize | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Vincent & the Grenadines | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | French Guiana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Bermuda had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Bermuda win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bermuda | Draw | Dominican Republic |
26.33% ( 0.03) | 23.1% ( 0.01) | 50.56% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.37% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.64% ( -0.02) | 41.36% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.25% ( -0.03) | 63.75% ( 0.03) |
| Bermuda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( 0.01) | 28.91% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.21% ( 0.01) | 64.79% ( -0.01) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.51% ( -0.02) | 16.49% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.78% ( -0.05) | 46.22% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bermuda | Draw | Dominican Republic |
| 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 26.33% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.74% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 50.56% |
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