Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahamas win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahamas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bahamas | Draw | Nicaragua |
42.89% (![]() | 27.11% (![]() | 30% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.97% (![]() | 56.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.88% (![]() | 77.12% (![]() |
Bahamas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.13% | 25.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.15% | 60.85% (![]() |
Nicaragua Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.17% (![]() | 33.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.5% (![]() | 70.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bahamas | Draw | Nicaragua |
1-0 @ 11.83% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 8% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.89% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.75% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.7% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 9.49% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.7% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 30% |
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