SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahamas win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahamas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bahamas | Draw | Nicaragua |
42.89% ( 0.01) | 27.11% ( 0) | 30% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.97% ( -0.01) | 56.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.88% ( -0.01) | 77.12% ( 0.01) |
| Bahamas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% | 25.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% | 60.85% ( 0) |
| Nicaragua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% ( -0.02) | 33.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.5% ( -0.02) | 70.5% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bahamas | Draw | Nicaragua |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 8% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.89% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 30% |
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