Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.
