SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahamas win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Guyana had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahamas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Guyana win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guyana | Draw | Bahamas |
| 31.56% | 22.87% | 45.57% |
| Both teams to score 64.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.21% | 36.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.04% | 58.96% |
| Guyana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% | 23.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.97% | 57.03% |
| Bahamas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.39% | 16.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.57% | 46.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Guyana | Draw | Bahamas |
| 2-1 @ 7.39% 1-0 @ 5.63% 2-0 @ 4.12% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.56% | 1-1 @ 10.1% 2-2 @ 6.63% 0-0 @ 3.85% 3-3 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 9.07% 0-1 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 5.43% 2-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 3.71% 1-4 @ 2.43% 2-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.66% Other @ 4.42% Total : 45.57% |
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