Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominica win with a probability of 83.69%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Saint Lucia had a probability of 5.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.94%) and 4-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.25%), while for a Saint Lucia win it was 0-1 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
