Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Anguilla had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Anguilla win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.
Result | ||
Saint Lucia | Draw | Anguilla |
42.61% ( -0.02) | 25.49% ( 0) | 31.9% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.96% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.2% ( 0) | 48.8% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.1% ( 0) | 70.9% ( 0) |
Saint Lucia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% ( -0.01) | 22.8% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.49% ( -0.01) | 56.51% ( 0.02) |
Anguilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.2% ( 0.02) | 28.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.34% ( 0.02) | 64.66% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Saint Lucia | Draw | Anguilla |
1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.9% |
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