Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Anguilla and Dominican Republic.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 72.97%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-3 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for an Anguilla win it was 2-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.