Haiti
1 - 0
Nicaragua

Etienne (63')
Alceus (25')
Cantave (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Serapio (34'), Rodriguez (90+4'), Moreno (90+5')
Serapio (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America First Round clash between Haiti and Nicaragua.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Haiti in this match.

Result
Haiti	Draw	Nicaragua
50.9%	24.63%	24.47%

Both teams to score 52.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.37%

49.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.35%

71.64%

Haiti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.5%

19.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.63%

51.37%

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16%

34.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.42%

71.57%

Score Analysis

Haiti 50.89%

Nicaragua 24.47%

Draw 24.62%

Haiti	Draw	Nicaragua
1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 4.95% 3-2 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-0 @ 2.02% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.89%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.79% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 7.16% 1-2 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 3.78% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.09% Total : 24.47%