Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Arenas de Getxo had a probability of 10.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.03%) and 0-3 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for an Arenas de Getxo win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
