Things are becoming increasingly desperate for Elche, who have two games against recently-promoted sides to come before the World Cup break.
Pacheta's side are riding a wave of home form at the moment though, and while we can see the struggling visitors scoring at the Jose Zorrilla on Saturday, we think that they will struggle to hold on for a result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Valladolid.
0.06) 
-0.05) 
