Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 79.88%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Arnedo had a probability of 6.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.44%) and 0-1 (12.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for an Arnedo win it was 1-0 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
