Osasuna are in desperate need of a win here, and can count on their passionate home support to make El Sadar a cauldron ahead of the visit of Espanyol.
While we fancy the away side to score due to the red-hot form of Joselu, we are predicting a much-needed victory for the hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
0.39) 
-0.47) 
